De Treffers 3-1 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.21
Over 2.5
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
41%
-4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
59%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME De Treffers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 453 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME De Treffers
3-1
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.34 xG 0.69
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
257 Passes 417
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH De Treffers vs MVV Maastricht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

De Treffers saw off MVV Maastricht 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, De Treffers had 41% of the ball to MVV Maastricht's 59%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.34 to 0.69.

What was the final score of De Treffers vs MVV Maastricht?

De Treffers 3-1 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for De Treffers vs MVV Maastricht?

Before kick-off our model rated an MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split De Treffers 30%, draw 24%, MVV Maastricht 47%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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