Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sparta Rotterdam v Groningen — Team-Based Signals
Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Groningen
HOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Sparta Rotterdam
HOL
Sparta Rotterdam 5-2 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics
Sparta Rotterdam cruised past Groningen 5-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sparta Rotterdam found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sparta Rotterdam had 51% of the ball to Groningen's 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.21 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sparta Rotterdam had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sparta Rotterdam and 0.50 for Groningen.
What was the final score of Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?
Sparta Rotterdam 5-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen?
Before kick-off our model rated an Groningen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sparta Rotterdam 38%, draw 23%, Groningen 39%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Groningen) went the other way.