Willem II 7-0 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
334 Passes 301
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 17
33 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Willem II Willem II 3-2 HT 3-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
21.05.2025 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 2-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
03.05.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Willem II Willem II HOL2
18.08.2023 Willem II Willem II 2-0 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
10.02.2023 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
20.11.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
7-0
AWAY Dordrecht
2.47 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 16
12 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Willem II ran out comfortable winners over Dordrecht 7-0. Half-time: 5-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Willem II had 48% of the ball to Dordrecht's 52%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.47 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 1.17 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Dordrecht?

Willem II 7-0 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Willem II 45%, draw 21%, Dordrecht 34%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Willem II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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