SV Spakenburg 5-1 DOVO Veenendaal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.14
Over 2.5
66%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.4pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Spakenburg EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY DOVO Veenendaal EU Bookmakers 15%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Spakenburg
5-1
AWAY DOVO Veenendaal
2.65 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
451 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH SV Spakenburg vs DOVO Veenendaal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Spakenburg cruised past DOVO Veenendaal 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SV Spakenburg as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, SV Spakenburg had 57% of the ball to DOVO Veenendaal's 43%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 2.65 to 0.55.

What was the final score of SV Spakenburg vs DOVO Veenendaal?

SV Spakenburg 5-1 DOVO Veenendaal in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Spakenburg vs DOVO Veenendaal?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Spakenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split SV Spakenburg 64%, draw 16%, DOVO Veenendaal 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SV Spakenburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SV Spakenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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