Rijnsburgse Boys 2-3 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
13%
4.95
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
13%
+6.8pp
13%
Draw
17%
-3.5pp
67%
Away Win
70%
-3.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.49/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.30/1.06
-44% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% / +6%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
8.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.0
11.0 Crosses 13.0
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
2-3
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
3.62 xG 1.78
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
228 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen nicked a narrow win over Rijnsburgse Boys 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 43% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 57%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.62 to 1.78 — on chances, Rijnsburgse Boys could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs NEC Nijmegen?

Rijnsburgse Boys 2-3 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 19%, draw 13%, NEC Nijmegen 67%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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