Al Gharafa 3-1 Al Duhail SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 30 Oct 2025

📅30/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
51%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
6.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.3pp
51%
Away Win
46%
+4.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.3pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Duhail SC EU Bookmakers 50%
+18% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.71/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.23
+39% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +123%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
393 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 83%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
16.5 Crosses 14.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
362 Passes 420
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2025 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATVPK
29.03.2025 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
27.10.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
01.03.2024 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
14.10.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 0-2 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KATYK
24.09.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Duhail SC Al Duhail SC KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
3-1
AWAY Al Duhail SC
1.53 xG 1.72
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
288 Passes 364
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa got the better of Al Duhail SC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Duhail SC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 45% of the ball to Al Duhail SC's 55%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.53 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Gharafa and 1.33 for Al Duhail SC.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC?

Al Gharafa 3-1 Al Duhail SC in the Qatar League on 30/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Duhail SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Duhail SC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 26%, draw 23%, Al Duhail SC 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Duhail SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Duhail SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAT More Qatar League
30 Oct 2025
19:30 Al Sadd vs Al Rayyan Analysis →