AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Hampton & Richmond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 38% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hampton & Richmond EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.01/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.49
-22% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Hampton & Richmond
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.08.2024 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 1-3 HT 1-0 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
13.10.2020 Hampton & Richmond Hampton & Richmond 2-2 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch FAK
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Hampton & Richmond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch and Hampton & Richmond couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.50 for Hampton & Richmond.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Hampton & Richmond?

AFC Hornchurch 1-1 Hampton & Richmond in the England - Conference on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Hampton & Richmond?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 35%, draw 31%, Hampton & Richmond 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
30 Nov 2024
18:00 Oxford City vs Farsley AFC Analysis →
18:00 Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead Town Analysis →
18:00 Worthing vs Weston-super-Mare Analysis →
18:00 Bath City vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
18:00 Enfield Town vs Torquay United Analysis →
18:00 Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City Analysis →