Homburg 4-1 Freiburg II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Regional League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 15:03
Match Result
Home
57%
1.74
Draw
22%
3.95
Away
21%
3.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
Over
60%
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
45%
4-5
28%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Homburg The Market 58%
Signal
AWAY Freiburg II The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.01 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.26
1.18 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.11
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Bad
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Freiburg II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Freiburg II Freiburg II 5-3 HT 2-3 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
09.03.2025 Freiburg II Freiburg II 3-2 HT 1-2 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
30.08.2024 Homburg Homburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
29.05.2021 Freiburg II Freiburg II 0-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
17.02.2021 Homburg Homburg 1-3 HT 1-2 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.02.2020 Homburg Homburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
REVIEW Homburg vs Freiburg II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Homburg made light work of Freiburg II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Homburg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Freiburg II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Homburg against 2.17 for Freiburg II.

Homburg vs Freiburg II Result & Final Score

Homburg 4 - 1 Freiburg II in the Germany - Regional League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Homburg vs Freiburg II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Homburg 57%, draw 22%, Freiburg II 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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