Mainz 05 II 2-1 Hessen Kassel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 37%
-13% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +8%
1.41/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.61
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Hessen Kassel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 3-0 HT 2-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
23.11.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
28.07.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 3-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
17.11.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 4-1 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Hessen Kassel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over Hessen Kassel 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.33 for Hessen Kassel.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Hessen Kassel?

Mainz 05 II 2-1 Hessen Kassel in the Germany - Regional League on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Hessen Kassel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 43%, draw 23%, Hessen Kassel 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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