Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nacional Potosi v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals
Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
Nacional Potosi
BOLPLK
0-3
HT 0-1
Independiente Petrolero
BOLPLK
Nacional Potosi 2-1 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional Potosi squeezed past Independiente Petrolero 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Nacional Potosi had 57% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 43%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 2.09 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nacional Potosi's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.50 for Independiente Petrolero.
What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?
Nacional Potosi 2-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Independiente Petrolero?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 61%, draw 21%, Independiente Petrolero 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.