AGF Aarhus 2-0 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
8%
5.6
X/2
15%
5.99
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.9
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.2pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.59/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.37
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.0 Crosses 13.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.66 xG 1.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
363 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.08.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 2-3 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
27.04.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-3 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
21.04.2025 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
10.11.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
28.07.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
21.05.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-2 HT 3-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus beat Kopenhag 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day AGF Aarhus made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AGF Aarhus and 2.33 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag?

AGF Aarhus 2-0 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 36%, draw 23%, Kopenhag 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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