Suwon City 0-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
2.09/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
+35% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.2 Crosses 15.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
348 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 2-4 HT 2-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
18.07.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
14.05.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
15.02.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
27.07.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
25.06.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
0-1
AWAY Gwangju
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 281
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gwangju squeezed past Suwon City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Suwon City had 48% of the ball to Gwangju's 52%, shots finished 20-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon City and 1.17 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Suwon City 0-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 48%, draw 26%, Gwangju 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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