Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v FC Juarez — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs FC Juarez Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-1
FC Juarez
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
FC Juarez
MEK
Toluca 0-0 FC Juarez — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca and FC Juarez fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Toluca at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toluca had 63% of the ball to FC Juarez's 37%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.11 to 0.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toluca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toluca and 1.17 for FC Juarez.
What was the final score of Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Toluca 0-0 FC Juarez in the Mexico - Primera on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs FC Juarez?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Toluca 69%, draw 17%, FC Juarez 14%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.