Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.82
No
41%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
6.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.51
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
7%
20.55
X/1 EV+ ✗
32%
3.93
X/2
4%
18.45
X/X
6%
8.52
2/1
13%
20.5
2/2
4%
15.0
2/X
6%
23.55
Value flag · X/1 at 3.93 — our 32% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.3pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.3pp
11%
Away Win
11%
+0.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.0pp
41%
BTTS No
49%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.89/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/2.85
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -65% / -29%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-1
AWAY Truro City
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Truro City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers and Truro City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Forest Green Rovers at 71% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 68% of the ball to Truro City's 32%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Truro City?

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Truro City in the England - National League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Truro City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 71%, draw 18%, Truro City 11%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
30 Dec 2025
22:45 Woking vs Braintree Town Analysis →
22:45 Scunthorpe United vs Gateshead Analysis →
22:45 Rochdale vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
22:45 Carlisle United vs Morecambe Analysis →
22:45 Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
22:45 Southend United vs Sutton United Analysis →