Arsenal 4-1 Aston Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 30 Dec 2025

📅30/12/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
71%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
21%
3.92
2-3
45%
1.84
4-5
26%
3.06
6+
8%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.68
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
18.6
X/1
22%
3.86
X/2
4%
15.1
X/X
11%
6.67
2/1
4%
22.7
2/2
6%
12.95
2/X
4%
21.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Arsenal The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa The Market 16%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.11
Strong Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
459 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
36 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.74 xG 1.08
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
424 Passes 262
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.12.2025 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
18.01.2025 Arsenal Arsenal 2-2 HT 1-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
24.08.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
14.04.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 0-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
09.12.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
18.02.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-4 HT 2-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
4 - 1
AWAY Aston Villa
3.04 xG 2.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
302 Passes 362
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
38 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Arsenal vs Aston Villa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arsenal cruised past Aston Villa 4-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (57%) landed.

On the day, Arsenal had 46% of the ball to Aston Villa's 54%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 3.04 to 2.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal and 1.50 for Aston Villa.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Result & Final Score

Arsenal 4 - 1 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 30/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 71%, draw 18%, Aston Villa 11%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
30 Dec 2025
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