CD Victoria 1-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
29%
-4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.9pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.08/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.69
-26% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +96%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Victoria
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
05.10.2024 Genesis PN 2-1 HT 1-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
04.08.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 0-2 Genesis PN HON
14.03.2024 Genesis PN 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
28.01.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 1-1 HT 0-0 Genesis PN HON
12.11.2023 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-2 HT 2-2 Genesis PN HON
18.09.2023 Genesis PN 3-1 HT 2-1 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH CD Victoria vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria squeezed past Genesis PN 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CD Victoria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genesis PN led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CD Victoria and 1.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

CD Victoria 1-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Victoria vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Victoria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split CD Victoria 46%, draw 29%, Genesis PN 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Victoria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Victoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
31 Jan 2025
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