Helmond Sport 0-0 De Graafschap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 31 Jan 2026

📅31/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.63
Over 2.5
64%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.88
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.48
6+ Goals
15%
5.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.86
1/2
7%
21.3
1/X
4%
12.8
X/1
8%
6.74
X/2
16%
5.81
X/X
8%
6.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
22%
3.07
2/X
9%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.3pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY De Graafschap EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.43/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.42
+2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
18.7 Crosses 21.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
2W-0D-4L
AWAY De Graafschap
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 1.88
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
288 Passes 371
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.11.2025 De Graafschap De Graafschap 3-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
09.05.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-4 HT 1-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
13.09.2024 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-3 HT 0-2 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.02.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 2-1 De Graafschap De Graafschap HOL2
18.09.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-1 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.03.2023 De Graafschap De Graafschap 2-0 HT 1-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
0-0
AWAY De Graafschap
0.78 xG 1.14
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
197 Passes 495
71% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport and De Graafschap fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was De Graafschap at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 34% of the ball to De Graafschap's 66%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.78 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Helmond Sport and 2.33 for De Graafschap.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?

Helmond Sport 0-0 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs De Graafschap?

Before kick-off our model rated an De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 34%, draw 22%, De Graafschap 45%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (De Graafschap) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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