Compostela 1-0 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.48
Over
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Compostela The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo The Market 29%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.89
+21% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Compostela
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Guijuelo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 0-1 HT 0-0 Compostela Compostela İS4
26.02.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-3 HT 1-2 Compostela Compostela İS4
09.10.2022 Compostela Compostela 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS4
07.11.2020 Compostela Compostela 3-0 HT 1-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
24.10.2015 Compostela Compostela 0-1 HT 0-1 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
02.02.2014 Compostela Compostela 1-2 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
POST-MATCH Compostela vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Compostela edged past Guijuelo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Compostela as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Compostela had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Compostela and 0.83 for Guijuelo.

What was the final score of Compostela vs Guijuelo?

Compostela 1-0 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Compostela vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Compostela win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Compostela 42%, draw 29%, Guijuelo 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Compostela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Compostela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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