Llerenense 0-2 Ursaria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.45
Over 2.5
30%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.2pp
70%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llerenense EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ursaria EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.76/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.00
-31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llerenense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ursaria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Ursaria Ursaria 0-0 HT 0-0 Llerenense Llerenense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llerenense
0-2
AWAY Ursaria
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Llerenense vs Ursaria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ursaria saw off Llerenense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Ursaria made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Llerenense had 64% of the ball to Ursaria's 36%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Llerenense vs Ursaria?

Llerenense 0-2 Ursaria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llerenense vs Ursaria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llerenense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Llerenense 38%, draw 30%, Ursaria 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Llerenense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llerenense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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