Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Oviedo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.16
No
68%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.8pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-10.1pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.91/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.07
-24% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
315 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Oviedo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.11.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 1-1 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
07.05.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS4
08.01.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 3-1 HT 1-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
31.01.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS3
31.10.2020 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 2-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
05.01.2020 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 1-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
1-0
AWAY Real Oviedo II
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Real Oviedo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 34% / 26%) promised a tight game; Marino De Luanco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 58% of the ball to Real Oviedo II's 42%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.33 for Real Oviedo II.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Marino De Luanco 1-0 Real Oviedo II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Real Oviedo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 40%, draw 34%, Real Oviedo II 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marino De Luanco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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