Montijo 1-1 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.5pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
45%
Away Win
58%
-12.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.2pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montijo EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 62%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montijo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-0 HT 1-0 Montijo Montijo İS4
26.03.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-0 HT 1-0 Montijo Montijo İS4
06.11.2022 Montijo Montijo 3-0 HT 2-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montijo
1-1
AWAY Talavera CF
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montijo vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montijo and Talavera CF shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Talavera CF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Montijo had 50% of the ball to Talavera CF's 50%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montijo and 1.33 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Montijo vs Talavera CF?

Montijo 1-1 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montijo vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montijo 27%, draw 28%, Talavera CF 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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