Saguntino 2-1 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.88
Away
40%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
31%
-6.6pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saguntino EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.30/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.38
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saguntino
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Europa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Europa Europa 4-0 HT 1-0 Saguntino Saguntino İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saguntino
2-1
AWAY Europa
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Saguntino vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saguntino nicked a narrow win over Europa 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Saguntino found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saguntino had 43% of the ball to Europa's 57%, shots finished 6-16.

What was the final score of Saguntino vs Europa?

Saguntino 2-1 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saguntino vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Saguntino 35%, draw 25%, Europa 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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