South Melbourne vs Dandenong City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
South Melbourne v Dandenong City — Team-Based Signals
South Melbourne vs Dandenong City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Dandenong City
AVNPL
0-1
HT 0-0
South Melbourne
AVNPL
South Melbourne got the better of Dandenong City 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Melbourne as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Melbourne had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for South Melbourne and 1.33 for Dandenong City.
What was the final score of South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
South Melbourne 4-2 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for South Melbourne vs Dandenong City?
Before kick-off our model rated a South Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split South Melbourne 60%, draw 19%, Dandenong City 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Melbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.