Haka 2-1 VPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 May 2025

Haka
2-1 HT 1-0
VPS
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 28% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.48
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
4%
12.85
X/1
16%
5.65
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
15%
5.14
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
3.94
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.5pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haka EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY VPS EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.59/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
+18% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
24.4 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY VPS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.26 xG 2.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
283 Passes 343
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Haka Haka 2-3 HT 1-1 VPS VPS FİN
18.08.2024 VPS VPS 3-2 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
06.04.2024 Haka Haka 1-2 HT 0-2 VPS VPS FİN
24.02.2024 VPS VPS 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FLK
23.07.2023 VPS VPS 4-1 HT 2-1 Haka Haka FİN
22.05.2023 Haka Haka 2-2 HT 2-2 VPS VPS FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haka
2-1
AWAY VPS
0.99 xG 0.37
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 321
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Haka vs VPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haka edged past VPS 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Haka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Haka had 41% of the ball to VPS's 59%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.99 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VPS led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haka and 2.33 for VPS.

What was the final score of Haka vs VPS?

Haka 2-1 VPS in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haka vs VPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haka win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Haka 37%, draw 28%, VPS 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haka), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Haka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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