Brezilya (K) 3-1 Japonya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brezilya (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.96/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.94
+38% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
11.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
12.0 Crosses 10.6
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brezilya (K)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Japonya (K)
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) OLY
09.04.2024 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
03.12.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
30.11.2023 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) HAZ
17.02.2023 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) SHEBEL
02.03.2019 Brezilya (K) Brezilya (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) SHEBEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brezilya (K)
3-1
AWAY Japonya (K)
2.52 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
221 Passes 202
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brezilya (K) got the better of Japonya (K) 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Brezilya (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brezilya (K) had 51% of the ball to Japonya (K)'s 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.52 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Japonya (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Brezilya (K) and 1.83 for Japonya (K).

What was the final score of Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Brezilya (K) 3-1 Japonya (K) in the Friendlies on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brezilya (K) vs Japonya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brezilya (K) 38%, draw 23%, Japonya (K) 39%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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