Oulu 2-1 Jaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 31 May 2026

Oulu
2-1 HT 0-0
Jaro
📅31/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
54%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.33
2-3
45%
1.76
4-5
17%
3.32
6+
14%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.33 — our 24% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
14%
4.19
X/2
8%
9.58
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
10%
23.1
2/2
10%
7.68
2/X
6%
15.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Oulu The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaro The Market 23%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.31 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.42
0.88 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.37
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Great
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
17.2 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jaro
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
270 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.02.2026 Jaro Jaro 2-6 HT 1-2 Oulu Oulu FLK
14.09.2025 Jaro Jaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
02.08.2025 Oulu Oulu 0-1 HT 0-1 Jaro Jaro FİN
18.06.2025 Jaro Jaro 2-1 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN
15.02.2025 Oulu Oulu 4-0 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FLK
25.09.2020 Jaro Jaro 2-0 HT 0-0 Oulu Oulu FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
2-1
AWAY Jaro
1.51 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Oulu vs Jaro
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Oulu nicked a narrow win over Jaro 2-1. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Oulu as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.84, about 54%.

The match data tells the story: Oulu had 54% of the ball to Jaro's 46%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.51 to 1.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Oulu and 1.33 for Jaro.

Oulu vs Jaro Result & Final Score

Oulu 2-1 Jaro in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Oulu vs Jaro Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Oulu win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Oulu 54%, draw 23%, Jaro 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oulu), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →