Mathare United 1-0 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.5pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.5pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mathare United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.83
-37% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mathare United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bandari
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
21.12.2025 Bandari Bandari 1-0 HT 1-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
15.12.2024 Bandari Bandari 2-2 HT 2-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN
25.09.2021 Bandari Bandari 3-0 HT 2-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
POST-MATCH Mathare United vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mathare United nicked a narrow win over Bandari 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mathare United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bandari led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mathare United and 2.00 for Bandari.

What was the final score of Mathare United vs Bandari?

Mathare United 1-0 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mathare United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 44%, draw 33%, Bandari 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mathare United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mathare United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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