Muranga All Stars 2-1 TransMara Sugar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY TransMara Sugar EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
0.83/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.98
-26% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muranga All Stars
1W-1D-0L
AWAY TransMara Sugar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
22.12.2025 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar 1-3 HT 1-2 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
29.09.2024 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 1-1 HT 1-0 TransMara Sugar TransMara Sugar KEN
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars nicked a narrow win over TransMara Sugar 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Muranga All Stars as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Muranga All Stars had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Muranga All Stars and 1.00 for TransMara Sugar.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

Muranga All Stars 2-1 TransMara Sugar in the Kenya - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muranga All Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 42%, draw 33%, TransMara Sugar 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muranga All Stars) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muranga All Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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