Police vs Homeboyz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Homeboyz — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Homeboyz Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
Police 1-1 Homeboyz — Actual Match Statistics
Police and Homeboyz shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Police had 49% of the ball to Homeboyz's 51%, shots finished 12-17.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Homeboyz led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Police and 1.33 for Homeboyz.
What was the final score of Police vs Homeboyz?
Police 1-1 Homeboyz in the Kenya - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Homeboyz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Police 44%, draw 27%, Homeboyz 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Police), BTTS No went the other way.