Tusker 1-1 APS Bomet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.4
No
47%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.9pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
38%
+15.3pp
47%
BTTS No
62%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tusker EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY APS Bomet EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.78/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.72
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tusker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY APS Bomet
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
21.12.2025 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0-1 HT 0-0 Tusker Tusker KEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tusker
1-1
AWAY APS Bomet
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tusker vs APS Bomet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker and APS Bomet shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 37% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tusker had 43% of the ball to APS Bomet's 57%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Tusker vs APS Bomet?

Tusker 1-1 APS Bomet in the Kenya - Premier League on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tusker vs APS Bomet?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tusker 34%, draw 37%, APS Bomet 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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