Nafta 1-0 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 31 May 2026

📅31/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
3.67
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.77/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.38
+23% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-4D-1L
AWAY ND Primorje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2026 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-0 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
19.04.2025 ND Primorje ND Primorje 2-2 HT 0-1 Nafta Nafta SLVN
21.02.2025 Nafta Nafta 2-2 HT 2-2 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
26.10.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 1-1 HT 0-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
10.08.2024 Nafta Nafta 0-3 HT 0-2 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
1-0
AWAY ND Primorje
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Nafta vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nafta nicked a narrow win over ND Primorje 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Nafta had 53% of the ball to ND Primorje's 47%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, ND Primorje led the recent series with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nafta and 1.60 for ND Primorje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Nafta 1-0 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 31/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Nafta 43%, draw 31%, ND Primorje 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nafta) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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