Austria Wien 4-3 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
24%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
5.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.64
6+ Goals
10%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
71%
-20.3pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.9pp
24%
Away Win
12%
+12.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 15%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
29.3 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilves Tampere
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 1.39
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
458 Passes 247
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 8
42 Crosses 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-1 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
4-3
AWAY Ilves Tampere
2.66 xG 2.56
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 571
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien edged past Ilves Tampere 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 39% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 61%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.66 to 2.56.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Ilves Tampere?

Austria Wien 4-3 Ilves Tampere in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 51%, draw 25%, Ilves Tampere 24%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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