MOL Fehervar 0-0 Sumqayıt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2024

MOL Fehervar
0-0 HT 0-0
Sumqayıt
📅31/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
UEFA Europa Conference League – 2024/2025

MOL Fehervar vs Sumqayıt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

MOL Fehervar v Sumqayıt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+88% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
475 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards –

MOL Fehervar vs Sumqayıt Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sumqayıt
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.72 xG 0.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
390 Passes 374
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
25.07.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-2 HT 1-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar AVKL

MOL Fehervar 0-0 Sumqayıt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
0-0
AWAY Sumqayıt
0.82 xG 0.52
34% Ball Possession 66%
19 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
239 Passes 515
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Sumqayıt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar and Sumqayıt played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was MOL Fehervar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 34% of the ball to Sumqayıt's 66%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.52.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Sumqayıt?

MOL Fehervar 0-0 Sumqayıt in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Sumqayıt?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 50%, draw 25%, Sumqayıt 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (MOL Fehervar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MOL Fehervar) ✓ BTTS No
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