Sumqayıt vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sumqayıt v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals
Sumqayıt 1-2 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics
MOL Fehervar nicked a narrow win over Sumqayıt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day MOL Fehervar made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sumqayıt had 50% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 50%, shots finished 8-22, expected goals 0.31 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold MOL Fehervar's control.
What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs MOL Fehervar?
Sumqayıt 1-2 MOL Fehervar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs MOL Fehervar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 40%, draw 27%, MOL Fehervar 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.