Mlada Boleslav 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 22% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
80%
-22.9pp
24%
Draw
14%
+9.5pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
467 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-0
AWAY TransINVEST Vilnius
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs TransINVEST Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav beat TransINVEST Vilnius 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mlada Boleslav as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 59% of the ball to TransINVEST Vilnius's 41%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Mlada Boleslav 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs TransINVEST Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 57%, draw 24%, TransINVEST Vilnius 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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