Saburtalo 2-0 Partizani Tirana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.71
Over 2.5
34%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.17
6+ Goals
7%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 37% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
55%
+11.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
45%
-11.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Partizani Tirana EU Bookmakers 38%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Partizani Tirana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.07.2022 Partizani Tirana Partizani Tirana 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo AVKL
07.07.2022 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-0 Partizani Tirana Partizani Tirana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-0
AWAY Partizani Tirana
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Partizani Tirana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo beat Partizani Tirana 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Saburtalo found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Saburtalo had 47% of the ball to Partizani Tirana's 53%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saburtalo and 0.50 for Partizani Tirana.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Partizani Tirana?

Saburtalo 2-0 Partizani Tirana in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Partizani Tirana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 39%, draw 31%, Partizani Tirana 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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