KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Tromsö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.85
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
12%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tromsö EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Kuopio
0-1
AWAY Tromsö
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KuPS Kuopio vs Tromsö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö nicked a narrow win over KuPS Kuopio 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Tromsö found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, KuPS Kuopio had 53% of the ball to Tromsö's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of KuPS Kuopio vs Tromsö?

KuPS Kuopio 0-1 Tromsö in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Kuopio vs Tromsö?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split KuPS Kuopio 39%, draw 28%, Tromsö 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (KuPS Kuopio), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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