Spartak Trnava 3-0 FK Sarajevo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-30% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
0W-2D-1L
AWAY FK Sarajevo
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVKL
23.07.2009 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo AVL
16.07.2009 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
3-0
AWAY FK Sarajevo
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs FK Sarajevo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Trnava swept aside FK Sarajevo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Spartak Trnava found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 44% of the ball to FK Sarajevo's 56%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Trnava and 0.67 for FK Sarajevo.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs FK Sarajevo?

Spartak Trnava 3-0 FK Sarajevo in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs FK Sarajevo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 36%, draw 30%, FK Sarajevo 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Trnava), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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