FK Sarajevo 0-0 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.42
6+ Goals
10%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.07.2009 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo AVL
16.07.2009 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
0-0
AWAY Spartak Trnava
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo and Spartak Trnava fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FK Sarajevo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 56% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 44%, shots finished 13-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 0.50 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Spartak Trnava?

FK Sarajevo 0-0 Spartak Trnava in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 42%, draw 30%, Spartak Trnava 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Sarajevo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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