Cardiff City 2-1 Reading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 31 Jul 2024

📅31/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.04
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Reading EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+77% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Reading
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.28 xG 0.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
312 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2023 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
06.08.2022 Reading Reading 2-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
09.04.2022 Reading Reading 1-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
02.10.2021 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İNCL
16.04.2021 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İNCL
26.09.2020 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-2 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
2-1
AWAY Reading
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Reading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City nicked a narrow win over Reading 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cardiff City had 56% of the ball to Reading's 44%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff City and 1.17 for Reading.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Reading?

Cardiff City 2-1 Reading in the Friendlies on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Reading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 49%, draw 24%, Reading 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
31 Jul 2024
03:00 Louisville City vs Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis →
03:20 Manchester City vs Barcelona Analysis →
11:00 Real Oviedo vs Al Ettifaq Analysis →
13:30 Urawa Red Diamonds vs Newcastle Analysis →
13:45 Machida Zelvia vs Reims Analysis →
17:00 Aris Limassol vs Udinese Analysis →