Guingamp vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Guingamp v Rennes — Team-Based Signals
Guingamp vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Guingamp 3-0 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics
Guingamp dismantled Rennes 3-0.
A gentle 47% lean on Rennes didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.68, about 60% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: possession split 51% to 49% in Guingamp's favour, shots finished 13-14.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Guingamp against 0.83 for Rennes.
Guingamp vs Rennes Result & Final Score
Guingamp 3-0 Rennes in the Friendlies on 31/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Guingamp vs Rennes Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 30%, draw 23%, Rennes 47%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.