Guingamp 0-2 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Guingamp
0-2 HT 0-1
Rennes
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Guingamp vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.41
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
8%
7.77
X/2
20%
3.94
X/X
13%
4.47
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.51
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guingamp v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 55%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -61% / -61%
1.00/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-20% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Guingamp vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Rennes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.85 xG 1.41
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 352
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2019 Rennes Rennes 1-1 HT 1-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
16.01.2019 Guingamp Guingamp 2-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
04.02.2018 Rennes Rennes 0-1 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1
14.10.2017 Guingamp Guingamp 2-0 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
21.01.2017 Guingamp Guingamp 1-1 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
30.09.2016 Rennes Rennes 1-0 HT 0-0 Guingamp Guingamp FR1

Guingamp 0-2 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp
0-2
AWAY Rennes
0.68 xG 1.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
292 Passes 475
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rennes got the better of Guingamp 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rennes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Guingamp had 41% of the ball to Rennes's 59%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.68 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guingamp had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guingamp and 0.67 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Guingamp vs Rennes?

Guingamp 0-2 Rennes in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guingamp 28%, draw 26%, Rennes 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rennes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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