Chambery 0-3 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Chambery
0-3 HT 0-2
Toulouse
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Chambery vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.81
Away
51%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.43
Over 2.5
47%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.7
6+ Goals
11%
7.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.67 — our 28% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
11%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.4pp
51%
Away Win
71%
-20.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chambery v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chambery EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 75%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.02/3.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.24
+63% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -1%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
217 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 79%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
20.0 Crosses 12.9
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Chambery 0-3 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chambery
0-3
AWAY Toulouse
0.92 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
243 Passes 512
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 34
32 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chambery vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse cruised past Chambery 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chambery had 36% of the ball to Toulouse's 64%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.92 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Chambery vs Toulouse?

Chambery 0-3 Toulouse in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chambery vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chambery 22%, draw 27%, Toulouse 51%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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