Le Havre vs Caen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Le Havre v Caen — Team-Based Signals
Le Havre vs Caen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Le Havre
HAZ
1-2
HT 0-1
Le Havre
FR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
2-4
HT 0-1
Caen
FR2
2-2
HT 1-1
Le Havre
FR2
0-2
HT 0-1
Le Havre
FR2
Le Havre 2-1 Caen — Actual Match Statistics
Le Havre edged past Caen 2-1.
Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Le Havre found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Le Havre had 52% of the ball to Caen's 48%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.53 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Le Havre's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Le Havre and 1.50 for Caen.
What was the final score of Le Havre vs Caen?
Le Havre 2-1 Caen in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Caen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 39%, draw 29%, Caen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.