Thionville Lusitanos 0-1 Marsilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
56%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.95
No
54%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.52
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
26%
2.4
6+ Goals
12%
4.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
5%
+16.6pp
22%
Draw
9%
+12.3pp
57%
Away Win
85%
-28.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+13.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-13.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
30%
+16.2pp
54%
BTTS No
70%
-16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thionville Lusitanos EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya EU Bookmakers 91%
+88% / +88% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/0.23
+150% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 583 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
Crosses 19.7
Yellow Cards 1.3
POST-MATCH Thionville Lusitanos vs Marsilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya squeezed past Thionville Lusitanos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Thionville Lusitanos vs Marsilya?

Thionville Lusitanos 0-1 Marsilya in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thionville Lusitanos vs Marsilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Thionville Lusitanos 22%, draw 22%, Marsilya 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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