Lens 2-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

Lens
2-2 HT 1-2
Monaco
📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Lens vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.86
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.87
X/2
12%
6.69
X/X
11%
5.23
2/1
10%
23.0
2/2
15%
4.46
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lens v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lens EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 34%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.41/0.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.22
+7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +105% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
– Crosses 11.4
– Yellow Cards 1.4

Lens vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lens
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Monaco
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.53 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
418 Passes 338
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-0 HT 2-0 Lens Lens FR1
22.04.2023 Lens Lens 3-0 HT 2-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
20.08.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-4 HT 1-2 Lens Lens FR1
21.05.2022 Lens Lens 2-2 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
30.01.2022 Lens Lens 2-4 HT 1-3 Monaco Monaco FRK
21.08.2021 Monaco Monaco 0-2 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1

Lens 2-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lens
2-2
AWAY Monaco
2.36 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
25 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
501 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
41 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lens vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lens and Monaco shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Lens had 57% of the ball to Monaco's 43%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.36 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lens had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lens and 1.67 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Lens vs Monaco?

Lens 2-2 Monaco in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lens vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lens 38%, draw 27%, Monaco 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lens) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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