Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
12.23
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.46
Over 2.5
53%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
6.76
2-3 Goals
39%
2.13
4-5 Goals
23%
2.38
6+ Goals
10%
4.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
26%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
5%
+13.3pp
20%
Draw
10%
+9.4pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-22.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
25%
+21.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
75%
-21.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontarlier EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +11%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontarlier
0-3
AWAY Lyon
0.11 xG 1.60
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
151 Passes 609
65% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 47
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontarlier vs Lyon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon cruised past Pontarlier 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pontarlier had 25% of the ball to Lyon's 75%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.11 to 1.60.

What was the final score of Pontarlier vs Lyon?

Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon in the France - Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontarlier vs Lyon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Pontarlier 18%, draw 20%, Lyon 62%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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