Treaty United 0-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.39/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.28
-8% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Longford Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.05.2026 Longford Town Longford Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
03.04.2026 Treaty United Treaty United 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
05.10.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 1-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
09.08.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
23.05.2025 Treaty United Treaty United 5-1 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
0-1
AWAY Longford Town
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Longford Town nicked a narrow win over Treaty United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Treaty United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Treaty United and 1.67 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Treaty United 0-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 42%, draw 23%, Longford Town 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Treaty United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İR1 More Ireland - 1st Division
31 Jul 2026
21:45 Finn Harps vs Cork City Analysis →
21:45 Athlone Town vs Univ College Dublin Analysis →
21:45 Cobh Ramblers vs Wexford Youths Analysis →
21:45 Bray Wanderers vs Kerry Analysis →