Yverdon 1-1 Etoile Carouge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+4.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
2.42/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.49
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.4 Crosses 12.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Etoile Carouge
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.05 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.05.2026 Yverdon Yverdon 3-5 HT 2-2 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
20.02.2026 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-2 HT 0-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
30.11.2025 Yverdon Yverdon 2-0 HT 0-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV2
12.09.2025 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge 2-1 HT 1-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV2
05.09.2020 Yverdon Yverdon 6-0 HT 2-0 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-1
AWAY Etoile Carouge
0.87 xG 0.73
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
436 Passes 373
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon and Etoile Carouge couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Yverdon carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.87 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Yverdon and 1.80 for Etoile Carouge.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?

Yverdon 1-1 Etoile Carouge in the Switzerland Challenge League on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Etoile Carouge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 57%, draw 19%, Etoile Carouge 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yverdon) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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