CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 31 Jul 2026

📅31/07/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.41/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.91
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
18.07.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
03.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.10.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
20.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
2-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia squeezed past Arda Kardzhali 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 8-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.17 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 41%, draw 29%, Arda Kardzhali 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5
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31 Jul 2026
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